An active learning Kriging model combined with directional importance sampling method for efficient reliability analysis

摘要

In this paper, the active learning Kriging model (ALK), which has been studied extensively in recent years, has been expanded by combining with the directional importance sampling (DIS) method. The directional sampling method can reduce the dimensionality of the variable space by random sampling or interpolation in the direction of vector diameter, which can improve the efficiency of reliability analysis. It is especially suitable for the surfaces whose limit state is spherical or near-spherical. By introducing the control coefficient and constructing the directional importance sampling density function, the sampling efficiency can be further improved in the design point domain. A novel reliability analysis method called ALK-DIS method is proposed. The greatest advantage of the proposed method is its ability on great computational efficiency and dealing with small failure probability problem In addition, due to the excellent performance of directional sampling method in dealing with multi-failure model reliability problems, the ALK-DIS method has the advantage of being applied to system reliability analysis in this paper successfully. The applicability, feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method are proved on examples which contain linearity equation, non-linear numerical example, non-linear oscillator and system reliability engineering problems.