Bayesian methods in reliability of search and rescue action

摘要

This paper concerns the application of bayesian network to planning and monitoring life saving actions at sea. The presented bayesian network was formed a. o. on the basis of the determined life raft safety function. The proposed bayesian network makes it possible to determine reliability of conducted life saving action, with accounting for a large number of events which influence course of the action. Reliability control was proposed to be applied to search and rescue - SAR action in contrast to risk control. Reliability levels were defined to make the assessing of safety of conducted SAR action, possible.