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An SIR model with infection delay and propagation vector in complex networks

机译:复杂网络中具有感染延迟和传播向量的SIR模型

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摘要

Based on the SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model, we propose a novel epidemic model to investigate the impact of infection delay and propagation vector on the spreading behaviors in complex networks. Mean-field approximations and extensive numerical simulations indicate that the infection delay and propagation vector can largely reduce the critical threshold and promote the outbreak of epidemics, and even lead to the case that the infectious diseases transform from the disease-free state to endemic one. The current results are greatly instructive for us to further understand the epidemic spreading and design some effective prevention and containment strategies to fight the epidemics.
机译:基于SIR(敏感感染去除)模型,我们提出了一种新型的流行病模型,以研究感染延迟和传播媒介对复杂网络中传播行为的影响。平均场近似和广泛的数值模拟表明,感染的延迟和传播向量可以大大降低临界阈值并促进流行病的爆发,甚至导致传染病从无病状态转变为地方病的情况。目前的结果对我们进一步了解该流行病的传播和设计一些有效的预防和遏制该流行病的方法具有很大的指导意义。

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