Accurate Short-term Wind Speed Prediction By Exploiting Diversity In Input Data Using Banks Of Artificial Neural Networks

摘要

Wind speed prediction is a very important part of wind parks management. Currently, hybrid physical-statistical wind speed forecasting models are used to this end, some of them using neural networks as the final step to obtain accurate wind speed predictions. In this paper we propose a method to improve the performance of one of these hybrid systems, by exploiting diversity in the input data of the neural network part of the system. The diversity in the data is produced by the physical models of the system, applied with different parameterizations. Two structures of neural network banks are used to exploit the input data diversity. We will show that our method is able to improve the performance of the system, obtaining accurate wind speed predictions better than the one obtained by the system using single neural networks.