Security: What will be hot in 2008?

摘要

There are two ways to predict the future with 100% accuracy Either you have the power to shape the future to your predictions (the God method) or you make your predictions vague enough so they fit most conceivable outcomes (the Nostra- damus method). For those of us who lack omnipotence but desire to write something meaningful, that leaves the alternative: extrapolate from in-depth research, solid statistics and current trends and hope for minimal volatility (disruptive innovation or externalities) in the outcome.