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Synthetic impact response functions for flood vulnerability analysis and adaptation measures in coastal zones under changing climatic conditions: a case study in Gippsland coastal region, Australia

机译:气候变化条件下沿海地区洪水脆弱性分析和适应措施的综合影响响应函数:以澳大利亚吉普斯兰沿海地区为例

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There is an increasing concern that the current management practices for many coastal regions are unsustainable. Very few countries have planned to deal with the exacerbation of environmental decline in the face of sea level rise. It is therefore necessary to assess socioeconomic and environmental impacts of sea level rises to better understand the vulnerability of coastal zones, as part of devising adaptive and integrated management principles. This paper presents a systematic approach by which relevant stakeholders can be actively engaged in prioritising flood impact issues and deriving information for quantification of impacts for adaptation measures and demonstrates the approach through implementation in the Gippsland coastal region. As outcomes of the project, we have identified key issues of concern for this region for flood impacts and constructed synthetic response functions for quantification of impacts of floods on some of the key issues in the region. The analysis also showed that stakeholders consider that some of the issues are not likely to be significantly affected by floods and thus may not require adaptation measures. The analysis did not provide high agreement on some issues. Different approaches are required to assess the importance of these issues and to establish impact response functions for them.
机译:人们越来越担心,许多沿海地区目前的管理做法不可持续。面对海平面上升,很少有国家计划应对加剧的环境下降问题。因此,有必要评估海平面上升的社会经济和环境影响,以更好地了解沿海地区的脆弱性,这是制定适应性和综合管理原则的一部分。本文提供了一种系统的方法,相关的利益相关者可以通过该方法积极参与洪水影响问题的优先级排序,并获得信息以量化对适应措施的影响,并通过在吉普斯兰海岸地区的实施来展示该方法。作为该项目的成果,我们已经确定了该地区洪水影响的关键问题,并构建了综合响应函数以量化洪水对该地区一些关键问题的影响。分析还表明,利益相关者认为某些问题不太可能受到洪水的影响,因此可能不需要采取适应措施。该分析在某些问题上并未达成高度一致。需要不同的方法来评估这些问题的重要性并为其建立影响响应功能。

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