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Incorporating the Stochastic Process Setup in Parameter Estimation

机译:在参数估计中纳入随机过程设置

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摘要

Estimation problems within the context of stochastic processes are usually studied with the help of statistical asymptotic theory and proposed estimators are tested with the use of simulated data. For processes with stationary increments it is customary to use differenced time series, treating them as selections from the increments’ distribution. Though distributionally correct, this approach throws away most information related to the stochastic process setup. In this paper we consider the above problems with reference to parameter estimation of a gamma process. Using the derived bridge processes we propose estimators whose properties we investigate in contrast to the gamma-increments MLE. The proposed estimators have a smaller bias, comparable variance and offer a look at the time-evolution of the parameter estimation. Empirical results are presented.
机译:通常在统计渐近理论的帮助下研究随机过程中的估计问题,并使用模拟数据对估计的估计量进行测试。对于具有固定增量的过程,习惯上使用差分时间序列,将它们视为增量分布中的选择。尽管在分布上是正确的,但这种方法会丢弃大多数与随机过程设置有关的信息。在本文中,我们参考了伽玛过程的参数估计来考虑上述问题。使用派生的桥接过程,我们提出了估计器,与γ增量MLE相反,我们研究了其属性。所提出的估计器具有较小的偏差,可比较的方差,并提供了参数估计的时间演变。给出了实证结果。

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