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The effect of stochastic perturbation on a nonlinear delay malaria epidemic model

机译:随机扰动对非线性时延疟疾流行模型的影响

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The subject of this paper is the stochastic epidemic malaria model with time delay, described by the system of the Ito stochastic functional delay equations. We center such a system around the endemic equilibrium state and, by the Lyapunov functional method, we obtain sufficient conditions for model parameters, as well as for time delays within which we can claim the asymptotical mean square stability and stability in probability. Finally, we present an example to show the compatibility of our mathematical results with the stochastic delay malaria model with quantities which are reliable data, as well as an example which shows that introduction of environmental noise annuls Hopf Bifurcation of the corresponding deterministic model.
机译:本文的主题是具有时间延迟的随机流行疟疾模型,由伊藤随机功能性延迟方程的系统描述。我们将这种系统围绕地方均衡状态,并通过李雅普诺夫(Lyapunov)函数方法,获得了模型参数以及时延的充分条件,在此条件下,我们可以要求渐近均方稳定性和概率稳定性。最后,我们提供一个例子来说明我们的数学结果与随机延迟疟疾模型的数量具有可信赖的数据的相容性,以及一个例子表明环境噪声的引入使相应确定性模型的Hopf分叉成为可能。

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