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An EWA framework for the probabilistic-based structural integrity assessment of offshore platforms

机译:EWA框架,用于基于概率的海上平台结构完整性评估

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摘要

Endurance Wave Analysis (EWA) is a novel, simple, economical but yet reliable method for the integrity assessment of offshore platforms against extreme irregular waves. The current paper presents a framework for the probabilistic assessment of offshore platforms based on EWA. The stochastic nature and the uncertainties in the ocean waves were taken Into account by introducing a set of artificial, random and gradually intensifying wave trains. To simulate other uncertainties in the loading and the strength of the structure a Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) type of Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) was employed. The EWA methodology and different structural performance criteria were considered. The EWA results were then used to obtain the hazard functions and fragility curves for a number of Engineering Demand Parameters (EDPs). Similar to onshore buildings, and for the sake of comparison only, different structural performance criteria were considered. The mean annual probabilities of structural failure (P-f) at different structural performance limit states were also competently estimated. The results proved that EWA is an effective and robust tool for the probabilistic-based assessment of offshore platforms. It yet requires very short simulation time, as compared to the costly conventional 3-h time-domain analyses. In contrast to the probabilistic seismic assessments, EWA does not requires separate Multi Stripe Analyses (MSAs), because EWA is intrinsically multi stripe.
机译:耐力波动分析(EWA)是一种新颖,简单,经济但可靠的方法,可用于对极端不规则波动的海上平台进行完整性评估。本文提出了一种基于EWA的海上平台概率评估框架。通过引入一组人工的,随机的和逐渐增强的波列,将海浪的随机性和不确定性考虑在内。为了模拟荷载和结构强度的其他不确定性,采用了拉丁超立方体采样(LHS)类型的蒙特卡洛模拟(MCS)。考虑了EWA方法和不同的结构性能标准。然后,将EWA结果用于获得许多工程需求参数(EDP)的危害函数和脆弱性曲线。与陆上建筑物相似,仅出于比较的目的,考虑了不同的结构性能标准。还可以对不同结构性能极限状态下的结构破坏的年平均概率(P-f)进行估算。结果证明,EWA是用于基于概率的海上平台评估的有效而强大的工具。与昂贵的常规3小时时域分析相比,它仍然需要非常短的仿真时间。与概率地震评估相反,由于EWA本质上是多条带,因此EWA不需要单独的多条带分析(MSA)。

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