The authors use a range of sources of data to review anticipations of the future made at various times in the past century. They conclude that the projections of the future suffer from four basic assumptions that are not generally valid. These relate to the roles of generally, the individual and technology, and the concept of progress. They conclude that forecasts today will probably suffer at least to some extent form these assumptions, and ask whether there are new and different paradigm shifts that we are failing to anticipate. The article concludes by suggesting some ways in which organizations can improve their ability to anticipate the future.
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