A case-based knowledge system for safety evaluation decision making of thermal power plants

摘要

Safety assessment of thermal power plants (TPP) is an important means to ensure the safety of production in thermal power production enterprises. Modern information technology can play an important role in TPP safety assessment. The evaluation of power plant systems relies, to a large extent, on the knowledge and experience of the experts undertaking the task. Case-based reasoning (CBR) is introduced for the safety assessment of TPP since it models expertise through experience management. This paper provides a case-based approach for the Management System safety assessment decision making of TPP (MSSATPP). We introduce a case matching method named CBR-Grey, which integrates the Delphi approach and grey system theory. Based on this method, we implement a prototype of case-based knowledge system (CBR-SYS-TPP) for the evaluation decision making of the panel of experts. Our experimental results based on a real-world TPP safety assessment data set show that CBRSYS-TPP has high accuracy and systematically good performance.