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Loss-averse newsvendor problem with supply risk

机译:避免损失的新闻供应商存在供应风险

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Modeling the manufacturer as a newsvendor, in this paper we study the ordering decisions of a loss-averse news-vendor with supply and demand uncertainties. Using the stylized newsvendor models, we analyse several key issues, including the effect of the newsvendor's loss aversion, the effect of demand uncertainty, and the effect of supply uncertainty on the decision maker's optimal decision under the procurement model, in which the decision maker only pays for the actual quantity received. Through our analysis, we find the following facts: the optimal order quantity decreases with respect to the degree of loss-aversion; the supply uncertainty induces the decision maker to order more than that in a deterministic environment; a stochastically larger demand always results in a larger order quantity and a larger expected utility; the optimal expected utility decreases in the demand volatility while the optimal order quantity may increase or decrease. Moreover, with numerical experiments, we demonstrate that the supply risk negatively affects the utility more than the demand risk does.
机译:将制造商建模为新闻供应商,在本文中,我们研究了具有供需不确定性的规避损失的新闻供应商的订购决策。使用程式化的新闻供应商模型,我们分析了几个关键问题,包括新闻供应商的损失厌恶情绪的影响,需求不确定性的影响以及供应不确定性对采购模式下决策者的最佳决策的影响,其中决策者仅支付实际收到的数量。通过我们的分析,我们发现以下事实:最优订单数量相对于损失规避的程度降低;供应的不确定性促使决策者在确定性环境中下达更多订单;随机的需求总会导致更大的订单数量和更大的预期效用;最佳预期效用会减少需求波动,而最佳订单量可能会增加或减少。此外,通过数值实验,我们证明了供应风险比需求风险对公用事业的负面影响更大。

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