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Sustainability of Rangeland Pastoralism--a Case Study from the West Australian Arid Zone using Stochastic Optimal Control Theory

机译:牧场畜牧业的可持续性-使用随机最优控制理论的西澳大利亚干旱区案例研究

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摘要

Optimal economic policies with respect to stocking rate and season of grazing for an arid chenopod pasture type were derived for various starting states under a stochastic optimal control framework. Optimal policies were determined using decision criteria which involved either no discounting of future returns or a discount rate of 6%, and were further evaluated by analysing their long-run economic and ecological consequences. All optimal policies involved either year-long set stocking or restocking. Policies involving seasonal grazing or variable stocking rates were not economically viable at the specified cost levels. Optimal stocking rates increase with the level of forage biomass and the density of adult plants, but decrease with the level of either young or old seedlings when these provide an opportunity for regeneration of degraded range.
机译:在随机的最优控制框架下,针对各种起始状态,得出了关于干旱藜科动物牧场类型的放牧率和放牧季节的最优经济政策。最佳政策是使用决策标准确定的,该决策标准不涉及未来收益的折现或6%的折现率,然后通过分析其长期的经济和生态后果对其进行进一步评估。所有最佳政策都涉及一年的固定库存或补货。在指定的成本水平下,涉及季节性放牧或可变库存率的政策在经济上不可行。最佳放养率随饲草生物量水平和成年植物密度的增加而增加,但当它们为退化范围的再生提供机会时,其随年轻或老苗水平的降低而降低。

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