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The captical asset pricing model: theory and evidence

机译:资本资产定价模型:理论与证据

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The capital asset pricing model (GAPM) of William Sharpe (1964) and John Lintner (1965) marks the birth of asset pricing theory (resulting in a Nobel Prize for Sharpe in 1990). Four decades later, the CAPM is still widely used in applications, such as estimating the cost of capital for firms and evaluating the performance of managed portfolios. It is the centerpiece of MBA investment courses. Indeed, it is often the only asset pricing model taught in these courses. The attraction of the CAPM is that it offers powerful and intuitively pleasing predictions about how to measure risk and the relation between expected return and risk. Unfortunately, the empirical record of the model is poor-poor enough to invalidate the way it is used in applications. The CAPM's empirical problems may reflect theoretical failings, the result of many simplifying assumptions. But they may also be caused by difficulties in implementing valid tests of the model. For example, the CAPM says that the risk of a stock should be measured relative to a comprehensive "market portfolio" that in principle can include not just traded financial assets, but also consumer durables, real estate and human capital.
机译:William Sharpe(1964)和John Lintner(1965)的资本资产定价模型(GAPM)标志着资产定价理论的诞生(1990年获得了Sharpe的诺贝尔奖)。四十年后,CAPM仍广泛用于各种应用程序中,例如估算公司的资本成本和评估托管投资组合的绩效。它是MBA投资课程的核心。实际上,它通常是这些课程中教授的唯一的资产定价模型。 CAPM的吸引力在于,它提供了有关如何衡量风险以及预期收益与风险之间的关系的强大而直观的预测。不幸的是,该模型的经验记录很差,足以使它在应用程序中的使用方式无效。 CAPM的经验问题可能反映了理论上的失败,这是许多简化假设的结果。但是它们也可能是由于难以实施模型的有效测试而引起的。例如,CAPM说,应该相对于全面的“市场投资组合”来衡量股票的风险,该组合原则上不仅可以包括交易的金融资产,还可以包括耐用消费品,房地产和人力资本。

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