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Explaining Stagnant Living Standards in a Generalized Asset Growth Context

机译:在广义资产增长背景下解释停滞的生活水平

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Aggregate U.S. assets have grown at an impressive rate over the past four decades, especially in recent years. Despite this, middle class living standards have remained relatively flat over the past four decades, and substantial debt has been required to maintain consumption at customary levels. We assemble the U.S. balance sheet for the past seventy years, showing how mounting debt has contributed to growth in financial assets, relative declines in net worth, and increases in assets in relation to GDP. We also calculate a financialization ratio based on our data, for which the trend line identifies a structural break circa 1980 after which the U.S. economy "financializes." Our numbers, moreover, support the claim that the debt spiral intensified income inequality. Most remarkably, average national equity returns remained flat or even declined slightly post-1980 despite much greater volatility and debt leverage, contrary to what basic financial theory would dictate.
机译:在过去的四十年中,美国资产汇集了令人印象深刻的速度,特别是近年来。尽管如此,在过去的四十年中,中产阶级生活水平仍然相对较为平坦,并且需要在习惯水平维持消费所需的大量债务。我们在过去的七十年中汇集了美国资产负债表,展示了支付债务如何促成金融资产的增长,净值的相对下降,以及与GDP有关的资产增加。我们还基于我们的数据计算了资料比率,趋势线识别大约1980年的结构中断之后的结构休息时间,之后美国经济“财成”。此外,我们的号码支持债务螺旋加强收入不平等的声称。尽管有更多的波动性和债务杠杆,但最重要的,最重要的是,普通的国家股权退货仍然是平坦的,甚至略微下降,仍然是债务杠杆,这与基本的金融理论决定是什么。

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