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Analysis and application of China's electric power market based on impulse response method

机译:基于脉冲响应法的中国电力市场分析与应用

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摘要

Industrialization in the process of Chinese city urbanization and city development stage have been promoting a rapid growth in electricity demand. Electricity power demand in China in the process of urbanization inevitably shows the characteristics which some developed countries has appeared in the same process. In order to obtain a reliable prediction of electricity demand, by using the important factor: city urbanization, we make the empirical analysis and research on power demand using the structural vector autoregressive model and impulse response function and variance decomposition method.
机译:中国城市化进程中的工业化和城市发展阶段一直在推动电力需求的快速增长。中国城市化进程中的电力需求不可避免地表现出一些发达国家在同一过程中出现的特征。为了获得可靠的电力需求预测,通过使用重要因素:城市城市化,我们使用结构矢量自回归模型以及脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法对电力需求进行了实证分析和研究。

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