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Media, Instability, and Democracy: Examining the Granger-Causal Relationships of 122 Countries From 1946 to 2003

机译:媒体,不稳定和民主:研究1946年至2003年间122个国家的格兰杰因果关系

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摘要

Using cross-national time-series data in sequences of Granger causality tests, this study analyzed the democratic effects of media technologies with a sample of 122 countries. This process revealed that communication technologies are vital, but not exclusive or universal prerequisites of democratic growth. As expected by media system dependency (MSD) theory, media diffusion was shown to have Granger-caused democracy only in countries where media served more information functions or where sociopolitical instability levels were higher. Results further indicated that media diffusion is central to the development of sociopolitical instability, which suggests certain direct and indirect macrolevel democratic effects of mass media diffusion. The conditions of MSD theory observed here also demonstrated an integrative relationship with the economic development thesis.
机译:本研究使用Granger因果检验序列中的跨国时间序列数据,对122个国家/地区的样本对媒体技术的民主影响进行了分析。这个过程表明,通信技术是至关重要的,但不是民主增长的排他或普遍前提。正如媒体系统依赖性(MSD)理论所预期的那样,只有在媒体提供更多信息功能或社会政治不稳定程度更高的国家,媒体传播才显示出格兰杰所造成的民主。结果还表明,媒体传播对于社会政治不稳定的发展至关重要,这表明大众传播的某些直接和间接的宏观民主效应。在此观察到的MSD理论的条件也证明了与经济发展理论的整合关系。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of communication》 |2011年第6期|p.1161-1182|共22页
  • 作者

    Jacob Groshek;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Media and Communication, Erasmus School of History, Culture and Communication, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-18 02:34:57

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