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Decomposition of energy efficiency and energy-saving potential in China: A three-hierarchy meta-frontier approach

机译:中国能源效率和节能潜力的分解:三层次的元边界方法

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Considering both regional heterogeneity and industrial heterogeneity, this paper proposes a three hierarchy meta-frontier data envelopment analysis (DEA) to decompose energy efficiency and energy saving potential into three components, i.e., industrial structure, regional balance development, and management. Based on this approach, the paper then analyses the historical evolution and current status of energy efficiency in China. The results show the following. (1) From 2001 to 2015, Mainland China's energy efficiency increased by a factor of 2.48, primarily because of technological progress and the optimization of its industrial structure. (2) Nonetheless, the current energy efficiency in Mainland China remains very low and energy inefficiency is as high as 0.5922, indicating that 59.22% of total energy consumption is invalidly used. Severe industrial structure inefficiency and regional balance development inefficiency are the two main factors responsible for the very low energy efficiency. (3) By promoting industrial restructuring, regional balance development, and management improvement, Mainland China is expected to save, respectively, 13.67%, 24.54%, and 61.73% of its current total invalid energy consumption. Based on the estimation results, this paper formulates strategies to improve energy efficiency and save energy for China's provinces based on their specific situations, considering not only the direction of industrial restructuring in both the short and long terms but also the path to improved energy efficiency. In addition, a brief discussion about the applicability and the preconditions for an application of the multi-hierarchy meta-frontier approach is given at the end of the paper. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:考虑到区域异质性和产业异质性,本文提出了一个三层次的元边界数据包络分析(DEA),将能源效率和节能潜力分解为三个组成部分,即产业结构,区域平衡发展和管理。在此基础上,本文分析了中国能源效率的历史演变和现状。结果显示如下。 (1)从2001年到2015年,中国大陆的能源效率提高了2.48倍,主要是因为技术进步和产业结构的优化。 (2)尽管如此,目前中国大陆的能源效率仍然很低,能源效率低至0.5922,这表明总能耗的59.22%被无效利用。严重的产业结构低效率和区域平衡发展低效率是造成能源效率极低的两个主要因素。 (3)通过促进产业结构调整,区域平衡发展和管理水平提高,预计中国大陆将分别节省当前无效能源总消耗量的13.67%,24.54%和61.73%。基于估算结果,本文根据具体省份的具体情况制定了提高能源效率和节约能源的战略,不仅考虑了短期和长期的产业结构调整方向,而且还考虑了提高能源效率的途径。此外,在本文的结尾部分简要讨论了多层次元边界方法的适用性和应用前提。 (C)2017 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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