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Experimental Research of Methods for Getting Cardinal Expert Estimates of Alternatives. Part 1. Methods without Expert Feedback

机译:获得替代方案主要专家估算方法的实验研究。第1部分。没有专家反馈的方法

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摘要

Results of experimental research of 11 methods for getting the cardinal expert estimates without expert feedback are represented. The following parameters of methods are determined: the consistency coefficient of estimates given by several experts, the mathematical expectation of relative error for relative objects weight determination, the mathematical expectation of time for getting estimates. The selection of objects under estimation are well-grounded, the methods analyzed and algorithms of processing the results are described. Results of experimental data processing are represented.
机译:给出了在没有专家反馈的情况下获得基本专家估计的11种方法的实验研究结果。确定方法的以下参数:几位专家给出的估计的一致性系数,确定相对对象权重的相对误差的数学期望,获得估计的时间的数学期望。估算对象的选择具有充分的基础,描述了分析的方法和处理结果的算法。表示了实验数据处理的结果。

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