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A new unit root test with two structural breaks in level and slope at unknown time

机译:一个新的单位根测试,在未知时间有两个结构上的水平和斜率断裂

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摘要

In this paper, we propose a new augmented Dickey-Fuller-type test for unit roots which accounts for two structural breaks. We consider two different specifications: (a) two breaks in the level of a trending data series and (b) two breaks in the level and slope of a trending data series. The breaks whose time of occurrence is assumed to be unknown are modeled as innovational outliers and thus take effect gradually. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we show that our proposed test has correct size, stable power, and identifies the structural breaks accurately.
机译:在本文中,我们为单元根提出了一种新的增强的Dickey-Fuller型检验,该检验可解决两个结构性断裂。我们考虑两种不同的规范:(a)趋势数据系列的水平的两个突破和(b)趋势数据系列的水平和斜率的两个突破。假定发生时间未知的中断被建模为创新异常值,从而逐渐生效。使用蒙特卡洛模拟,我们证明了我们提出的测试具有正确的尺寸,稳定的功率,并且可以准确地识别出结构破坏。

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