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US foreign energy policy and grand strategy choice: global systemic crises confronting the Obama Administration

机译:美国的外国能源政策和大战略选择:奥巴马政府面临的全球系统性危机

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摘要

The analysis of US foreign energy policy should be in the context of a 'grand strategy' choice between 'global hegemonism' and 'cooperative realism'. The latter is more viable in addressing a series of global systemic crises. The first of these crises is in the global security system itself as the world is involved in a transition toward multipolarity. The uneven economic development underlying this transition is complicated by the global financial-economic crisis since late 2008. These two systemic crises impact on a third, with a longer time-scale, namely that of 'dangerous' climate change and attempts to impose limits on greenhouse gas emissions, especially from the global energy sector. The fourth inter-linked crisis is in the global energy system itself between depleting supplies of conventional crude oil and rising demand for it. Resolution, or even effective management, of these crises requires inter alia the USA to seriously address issues in domestic policy - not least energy policy.
机译:对美国对外能源政策的分析应在“全球霸权主义”和“合作现实主义”之间进行“大战略”选择的背景下进行。后者在解决一系列全球性系统性危机方面更为可行。这些危机中的第一个是全球安全体系本身,因为世界正在向多极化过渡。自2008年底以来,全球金融经济危机使这一转变所导致的经济发展不平衡变得更加复杂。这两种系统性危机对第三种危机的影响时间较长,即“危险的”气候变化的后果以及试图对气候变化施加限制的尝试。温室气体排放,特别是来自全球能源部门的温室气体排放。第四个相互关联的危机发生在全球能源系统本身之间,介于常规原油供应枯竭与需求增长之间。解决这些危机,甚至进行有效的管理,除其他外,要求美国认真解决国内政策中的问题,尤其是能源政策。

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