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Two-fold calibration approach for microscopic traffic simulation models

机译:微观交通模拟模型的双重标定方法

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摘要

Calibrating the microsimulation traffic models can be defined as a black-box optimisation problem with some non-concave objective functions. In this regard, the stochastic optimisation algorithms are suitable choices to explore the search space and prevent getting stuck in local optimums. However, considering only the traffic attributes-related objectives may fail to calibrate the model in terms of safety. Therefore, by defining two different objectives, a two-fold calibration approach is proposed such that the simulation model reproduces the real-world transportation network more accurately, both in terms of safety and operation. Moreover, the performance of two different approaches to solve this multi-objective optimisation problem are evaluated. It is shown that by aggregating the objectives in one single formula (i.e. a priori methods), the information exchange among solutions is not captured, which may lead to non-optimal solutions. While this limitation is overcome by a posteriori methods since different objectives can be optimised separately and simultaneously. In this regard, the performance of posteriori-based multi-objective particle swarm optimisation (MOPSO) algorithm in calibrating VISSIM is compared with some priori-based optimisation algorithms (e.g. PSO, genetic algorithm, and whale optimisation algorithm). The results show that posteriori-based MOPSO leads to a more accurate solution set in terms of both objectives.
机译:可以将校准微观模拟流量模型定义为带有某些非凹面目标函数的黑盒优化问题。在这方面,随机优化算法是探索搜索空间并防止陷入局部最优的合适选择。但是,仅考虑与交通属性相关的目标可能无法在安全方面校准模型。因此,通过定义两个不同的目标,提出了两种校准方法,以使仿真模型在安全性和操作性两方面都能更准确地重现现实世界的运输网络。此外,评估了解决此多目标优化问题的两种不同方法的性能。结果表明,通过将目标汇总在一个单一的公式中(即先验方法),解决方案之间的信息交换不会被捕获,这可能会导致解决方案不理想。通过后验方法可以克服此限制,因为可以分别并同时优化不同的目标。在这方面,将基于后验的多目标粒子群优化(MOPSO)算法在校准VISSIM中的性能与一些基于先验的优化算法(例如PSO,遗传算法和鲸鱼优化算法)进行了比较。结果表明,基于后验的MOPSO可以为两个目标提供更准确的解决方案。

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