Predicting burglars' risk exposure and level of pre-crime preparation using crime scene data

摘要

OBJECTIVES: The present study aims to extend current research on how offenders' modus operandi (MO) can be used in crime linkage, by investigating the possibility to automatically estimate offenders' risk exposure and level of pre-crime preparation for residential burglaries. Such estimations can assist law enforcement agencies when linking crimes into series and thus provide a more comprehensive understanding of offenders and targets, based on the combined knowledge and evidence collected from different crime scenes.