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How late-modern nomads imagine tomorrow? A Causal Layered Analysis practice to explore the images of the future of young adults

机译:后现代游牧民族如何想象明天?因果分层分析实践,探索年轻人的未来形象

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Images of the future represent fears, hopes and anticipations humans have for the future. Understanding the images of the future of young people provides a beneficial source of information not only about their probable future actions but also about their current motivations, decisions and choices. This article describes the procedure of exploring the images of the future of a group of young adults from different cultural backgrounds who are Bachelor and Master's degree students in Finland. Due to the intricate nature of the images of the future and also the existent complexity within the current societal context, this study proposes that investigation of the images of the future demands a refined, subtle selection of methods. During this study, a combination of several interview techniques is employed to collect the qualitative research material. Then Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) is utilized as a multi-layered theoretical framework for qualitative content analysis of the material. The results include four images of the future which reflect on different levels of the young adults' understandings and feelings. The first image, Living With the Chill, displays the most pessimistic view of the future and the fourth, Imagine ... !, is the most optimistic one. Two other images, Fear and Hope, and Life as a Chance for Dedication, are moderate, not very optimistic, nor very pessimistic. The images of the future of the participants of this study suggest that young adults tend to define the future in terms of presence or absence of the current societal concerns and do not seem to exceed this framework. They also indicate that the studied young adults' radically negative or positive approach toward the future have reduced their perceived locus of control. We conclude that using CLA in the analysis of interview material produces a fruitful, rich, in-depth understanding of the images of the future.
机译:未来的图像代表着人类对未来的恐惧,希望和期待。了解年轻人的未来形象不仅为他们将来可能采取的行动提供了有益的信息来源,而且为他们目前的动机,决定和选择提供了信息。本文介绍了探索一群来自不同文化背景的年轻人的未来的过程,这些年轻人是芬兰的学士和硕士学位学生。由于未来图像的复杂性以及当前社会背景下的复杂性,本研究提出,对未来图像的研究需要精妙,精妙的方法选择。在这项研究中,采用了几种访谈技术的组合来收集定性研究材料。然后将因果分层分析(CLA)用作材料定性含量分析的多层理论框架。结果包括四张未来的图像,分别反映了年轻人的理解和感受的不同水平。第一张图像“与寒冷共处”显示了对未来最悲观的看法,第四张图像“ Imagine ...!”则是最乐观的看法。另外两个图像,“恐惧与希望”和“奉献生命的机会”,是适度的,不是很乐观,也不是很悲观。这项研究参与者的未来图像表明,年轻人倾向于根据当前社会关注点的存在与否来定义未来,并且似乎没有超出这一框架。他们还表明,研究的年轻人对未来的根本消极或积极态度降低了他们的控制力。我们得出的结论是,将CLA用于访谈材料的分析可以对未来的图像产生富有成果,丰富而深入的理解。

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