Food scenarios 2025: Drivers of change between global and regional

摘要

This article presents the results of a future study of the food sector. Two scenarios have been developed using a combination of: 1) a summary of the relevant scientific knowledge, 2) systematic scenario writing, 3) an expert-based Delphi technique, and 4) an expert seminar assessment. The two scenarios present possible futures at global, national (Denmark) and regional (Zealand, Denmark) levels. The main scenario is called 'Food for ordinary days and celebrations' (a combination of 'High-technological food production - The functional society' and 'High-gastronomic food - The experience society'). A less likely scenario is called 'The reappearence of the sea - The aquaria( society'. The purpose of the scenario writing has been to provide strategic tools for societal actors who to create economic growth and jobs, particularly regional governments and firms. Suggestions concerning regional industrial policy and firm actions are included in the article. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.