Logistic Regression for Southern Pine Beetle Outbreaks with Spatial and Temporal Autocorrelation

摘要

Regional outbreaks of southern pine beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis Zimm.) show marked spatial and temporal patterns. While these patterns are of interest in themselves, we focus on statistical methods for estimating the effects of underlying environmental factors in the presence of spatial and temporal autocorrelation. The most comprehensive available information on outbreaks consists of binary data, specifically, annual presence or absence of outbreak for individual counties within the southern United States.