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Land use dynamics and future scenarios of the Rio Doce State Park buffer zone, Minas Gerais, Brazil

机译:巴西米纳斯吉拉斯州里约多斯州立公园缓冲区的土地利用动态和未来情景

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摘要

It is necessary to understand the importance of landscapes that comprise the environment across a broad range of time and space and that each part of these landscapes responds to changes in environmental factors and land use. This study employs a multiscale modeling approach in the Rio Doce State Park (PERD), located in Minas Gerais, Brazil, based on a previous study on land use change in this region over the last 30 years (1985-2015), with an aim of predicting possible scenarios for the next 15 years (2015-2030). The results indicate that the municipalities and buffer zones within the PERD will suffer from increased human disturbance in all four land use types present in the region (Urban, Agriculture, Pasture, and Forestry). Correspondingly, areas of natural environment (Forest and Water) will shrink due to an increase in forest fragmentation, causing the loss of permanent ecological reserves, thereby endangering the biodiversity of these areas. Cooperation between the local community and private companies is therefore necessary to improve regional environmental conservation, encourage advanced sustainable development, and improve the quality of life for residents within each municipality near the State Park.
机译:有必要了解在广泛的时间和空间范围内构成环境的景观的重要性,并且这些景观的每个部分都要对环境因素和土地利用的变化做出反应。这项研究基于过去30年(1985-2015年)该地区土地利用变化的先前研究,在位于巴西米纳斯吉拉斯州的里约多西州立公园(PERD)中采用了多尺度建模方法。预测未来15年(2015-2030年)的可能情景。结果表明,PERD内的市镇和缓冲区在该地区存在的所有四种土地使用类型(城市,农业,牧场和林业)中都将遭受人为干扰的加剧。相应地,由于森林破碎化的加剧,自然环境(森林和水)区域将缩小,导致永久性生态储备的丧失,从而危及这些区域的生物多样性。因此,当地社区与私营公司之间的合作对于改善区域环境保护,鼓励先进的可持续发展以及改善州立公园附近每个城市居民的生活质量是必要的。

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