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CLIMRISK-RIVER: Accounting for local river flood risk in estimating the economic cost of climate change

机译:CLINRISK-RIVER:在估计气候变化经济成本时,占地方河洪水风险

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摘要

This study aims to improve the estimates of the economic impacts of climate change by developing a river flood risk model CLIMRISK-RIVER and introducing it into an existing climate-economy integrated assessment model (lAM). It operates on a local scale and can project climate change-related river flood damage for various socioeconomic, climate and flood adaptation scenarios. Whereas other lAMs have relied on temperature as a climate change proxy, we show that precipitation is a key variable in projecting river flood damage. The way adaptation is accounted for in our flood damage functions has a large influence on the results, highlighting the relevance of modelling local level adaptation in lAMs. Results presented at different spatial scales demonstrate the relevance of river flood damage functions for estimating the economic impacts of climate change and allows for exploration of the spatial distribution of impacts through local estimates.
机译:本研究旨在通过开发河流风险模型攀登河流并将其介绍进入现有的气候经济综合评估模型(LAM)来改善气候变化对气候变化经济影响的估计。它以当地规模运作,可以为各种社会经济,气候和洪水适应情景投入与环境变化相关的河流灾害。虽然其他林已依赖于温度作为气候变化代理,但我们表明降水是突出河洪水损伤中的关键变量。在我们的洪水损伤功能中占适应的方式对结果产生了很大影响,突出了在南部建模局部水平适应的相关性。在不同的空间尺度上提出的结果展示了河流洪水损伤的相关性,以估算气候变化的经济影响,并允许通过当地估算来探索影响的空间分布。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Environmental Modelling & Software》 |2020年第10期|104784.1-104784.28|共28页
  • 作者单位

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies IVM De Boelelaan 1105 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies IVM De Boelelaan 1105 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands|Univ Utrecht Utrecht Univ Sch Econ USE Utrecht Netherlands;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies IVM De Boelelaan 1105 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands|Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico Ctr Ciencias Atmosfera Mexico City DF Mexico;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies IVM De Boelelaan 1105 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies IVM De Boelelaan 1105 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies IVM De Boelelaan 1105 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Integrated assessment modelling; Climate change; River flood risk; River flood adaptation;

    机译:综合评估建模;气候变化;河洪水风险;河洪水适应;

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