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ECONOMIC MODELLING IN SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE: ISSUES, METHODOLOGY, AND IMPLICATIONS

机译:可持续性科学中的经济建模:问题,方法论和启示

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Sustainability science is a new branch of human knowledge. It is necessary to model sustainability science based on a framework consisting of the interactions of society, ecology, the environment and the economy. This paper develops such a model, the SEEOSG model, containing the essential structural relationships that incorporate the environmental and economic conditions required for sustainability. The model is solved as a dynamic optimisation problem. This optimal growth model of ecology and economic growth enables us also to analyse the issues which are specific to sustainability science such as the ecologically sustainability and inter-generational equity implications of economic activities and policies. In the model results growth maximisation goals appear to be fraught with difficulties such as infeasibility and non-sustain-ability. The results also suggest also that an equilibrium ecological and economic system does not sustain over a very long period of time unless appropriate actions are taken.
机译:可持续性科学是人类知识的新分支。有必要基于由社会,生态,环境和经济的相互作用组成的框架对可持续发展科学进行建模。本文开发了一个SEEOSG模型,其中包含与可持续性所需的环境和经济条件相结合的基本结构关系。该模型作为动态优化问题解决。这种生态学和经济增长的最佳增长模型使我们还能够分析可持续性科学特有的问题,例如经济活动和政策对生态可持续性和代际公平的影响。在模型结果中,增长最大化目标似乎充满了诸如不可行和不可持续的困难。结果还表明,除非采取适当措施,否则均衡的生态和经济系统不会在很长时间内维持下去。

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