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Climate Change and Crime Revisited: An Exploration of Monthly Temperature Anomalies and UCR Crime Data

机译:重新审议气候变化和犯罪:每月温度异常和UCR犯罪数据的探索

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A growing body of research suggests a positive connection between climate change and crime, but few studies have explored the seasonal nature of that link. Here, we examine how the impact of climate change on crime may partly depend on specific times of the year as recent climatological research suggests that climate change may have a diverging impact during different times of the year. To do so, we utilize the largest, most current dataset of all main categories of reported crime by month and year in the United States-the Federal Bureau of Investigation's (FBI) Uniform Crime Reports. We employ historical weather data collected by the Global Historical Climatology Network to measure climate change, and develop a procedure that weighs and connects these data to individual crime reporting agencies. We discover not only a positive association between climate change and crime but also substantial monthly variation in this association.
机译:越来越多的研究体现了气候变化与犯罪之间的积极关系,但很少有研究探索了该联系的季节性。在这里,我们研究气候变化对犯罪的影响可能部分依赖于一年中的特定时间,随着最近的气候学研究表明,气候变化可能在一年中不同时间产生不同的影响。为此,我们利用最大,最目前的所有主要类别的报告犯罪,在美国 - 联邦调查局(FBI)统一犯罪报告。我们采用全球历史气候学网络收集的历史天气数据来衡量气候变化,并制定一项称重的程序,并将这些数据与个人犯罪报告机构联系起来。我们不仅发现了气候变化与犯罪之间的积极关系,而且在本协会的每月变异也是如此。

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