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Hysteresis in Regional Unemployment Rates in Turkey

机译:土耳其区域失业率的滞后

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It is important for policy-makers to understand the nature of unemployment, particularly in the regional level. As a developing country, Turkey suffers from severe unemployment, as well as major regional discrepancies, even in the periods of high-level economic growth. In this study, we analyze a possible hysteresis effect in regional unemployment rates in Turkey from 2004 to 2011. We apply heterogeneous or homogenous Panel-based Unit Root (PUR) tests that they can be arranged in groups by cross-section independence or cross-section dependence. Results of the PUR tests show that there is no mean-reversion in regional unemployment rates and natural-rate of unemployment hypothesis is strongly rejected. Thus, empirical results provide significant support for the existence of the hysteresis hypothesis in regional unemployment rates in Turkey.
机译:政策制定者很重要,以了解失业的性质,特别是在区域一级。 作为一个发展中国家,土耳其遭受严重的失业率,以及主要区域差异,即使在高层经济增长期间也是如此。 在这项研究中,我们从2004年到2011年分析了土耳其区域失业率的可能滞录效果。我们应用异质或同质的基于面板的单位(PUR)测试,即它们可以通过横截面独立或交叉组成 部分依赖。 PUR测试的结果表明,区域失业率中没有平均逆转,强烈拒绝失业假设的自然率。 因此,经验结果为土耳其区域失业率中存在滞后假设的存在,为存在显着支持。

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