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Modeling Rainfall Variability over Urban Areas: A Case Study for Kuwait

机译:对城市地区的降雨变异性建模 - 以科威特为例

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This study examines the spatial and temporal variability of monthly total rainfall data obtained from weather stations located in the urban areas of Kuwait. The rainfall data are analyzed by considering statistics on a seasonal basis and by means of periodogram technique to reveal the periods responsible for the variable pattern. The results demonstrate similarity implying that a point estimate of rainfall data can be considered spatially representative over the urban areas of Kuwait. A sinusoidal model triggering the influence of the detected periods is developed accordingly for the time duration from January 1965 to December 2009. The model is capable of describing the rainfall data with some discrepancies between the actual and calculated values resulting from hidden periods that have not been taken into account. This finding suggests that the ability to construct a more reliable model would require a wider range of historical data to detect the other periods affecting the rainfall pattern.
机译:本研究探讨了从位于科威特市区的天气站获得的月度降雨数据的空间和时间变化。通过考虑季节性基础和通过期间地图技术来分析降雨数据,以揭示负责变量模式的期间。结果表明了相似之处意味着降雨数据的点估计可以在科威特市区的空间代表。触发检测到的时段的影响的正弦模型是相应于1965年1月到2009年12月的时间持续时间的。该模型能够描述降雨数据,这些降雨数据具有由未处的隐藏期间产生的实际和计算值之间存在一些差异的差异考虑到。这一发现表明,构建更可靠的模型的能力将需要更广泛的历史数据来检测影响降雨模式的其他时期。

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