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Risk factors for initial respiratory disease in United States’ feedlots based on producer-collected daily morbidity counts

机译:基于生产者收集的每日发病率计数的美国饲养场中初始呼吸道疾病的危险因素

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The incidence of initial respiratory disease was followed for 12 weeks in 122 pens of feedlot cattle, based on producer-collected daily morbidity counts. Weekly incidence density was calculated based on the number of new cases and the population at risk. Incidence density was greatest in the 1st week after arrival and decreased in following weeks. Weekly incidence rate varied between pens and over time from 0 to 27.7 cases per 100 animal weeks at risk. A negative binomial model controlling for multiple events within pens and over time was used to model effects on the number of new cases. Mixed gender groups, cattle from multiple sources and increasing distance shipped were associated with increased risk for initial respiratory morbidity. Heavier entry weight was associated with decreased morbidity risk. These factors may be useful in categorizing groups of calves into risk groups for targeted purchase and management decision making.
机译:根据生产者收集的每日发病率计数,对122头育肥牛的初始呼吸道疾病的发病率进行了12周的追踪。基于新病例数和高危人群,计算每周发病率密度。发病密度在到达后的第一周最大,随后几周下降。围栏之间的每周发病率随时间变化,每100周有风险的动物从0到27.7例不等。使用负二项式模型来控制笔内和随时间变化的多个事件,以模拟对新病例数的影响。性别混合的人群,来自多种来源的牛和运输距离的增加与初始呼吸道疾病的风险增加相关。较重的进入体重与发病风险降低相关。这些因素可能有助于将犊牛组分类为风险组,以进行有针对性的购买和管理决策。

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