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On the estimation of ship's fuel consumption and speed curve: A statistical approach

机译:关于船舶油耗和速度曲线的估计:一种统计方法

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When fuel efficiency is at stake, along with the reduction of the environmental foot print of air pollution, a need is presented to estimate a ship's fuel consumption for a forthcoming voyage, and means for decision making and for cost saving. This paper suggests an operational approach for obtaining an accurate fuel consumption and speed curve, on the basis of major factors affecting it, namely, ship’s draft and displacement, weather force and direction, hull and propeller roughness. A statistical analysis on 418 noon reports of a Pure Car and Truck Carrier case ship is carried out and the influence of the above factors is calculated. As expected, stronger wind and head weather increases the fuel consumption, and the difference between several weather conditions could be quantified. A simple and accurate algorithm is proposed in order for ship owners, managers and operators to be in a position to apply the suggested method on their fleet. Finally, applications of the structured algorithm are introduced with examples, in estimating the fuel consumption of the case ship for a future voyage, and also the same for a sister ship. Furthermore, voyage planning in several scenarios is proposed in order to assist the stakeholders with decision making aimed to fuel saving and environmental friendliness of their ships.
机译:当燃油效率受到威胁时,伴随着空气污染的环境足迹的减少,提出了一种需要估计即将到来的航行中船舶的燃油消耗以及决策和节省成本的手段。本文基于影响其的主要因素,即船舶吃水和排水量,天气力和方向,船体和螺旋桨的粗糙度,提出了一种获取准确燃油消耗和速度曲线的操作方法。对纯汽车和卡车运输案例船的418份中午报告进行了统计分析,并计算了上述因素的影响。不出所料,强风和大风天气会增加燃料消耗,并且可以量化几种天气条件之间的差异。提出了一种简单而准确的算法,以使船东,管理者和经营者能够在其船队上应用所建议的方法。最后,通过示例介绍结构化算法的应用,以估算未来航行中的案例船的燃油消耗,以及姊妹船的情况。此外,提出了在几种情况下的航行计划,以帮助利益相关者做出旨在节省燃料和降低船舶环境友好性的决策。

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