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Domestic migration, home rentals, and crime rates in China

机译:中国的家庭移民,房屋租赁和犯罪率

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Abstract Although it is commonly believed that immigration leads to a high crime rate, this relationship is far from conclusive. This paper contributes to this line of research by exploring the case of China, a country undergoing rapid and profound urbanization. We collected and analyzed the arrest and prosecution data from the procuratorates of 306 prefectures in China, combined with interviews with nine policemen and public procurators from five provinces. We found that domestic migration in different cities is significantly related to the prosecution rate, while home rentals provide a better predictor of the arrest rate. These findings imply that migration may introduce crime, but may partly through the rental-housing factor. Compared with prosecution cases that are broader in scope, arrest cases indicate graver crimes in China. This suggests that the rental factor may play an important role in the emergence and prevention of crime. The findings call for reflection on urbanization and its unintended consequences. Housing policies should not be considered merely in their economic sense; it should not be neglected as important social policy leverage in crime prevention and social inclusion.
机译:摘要尽管通常认为移民会导致较高的犯罪率,但这种关系远非结论性的。本文通过探索中国这个快速而深刻的城市化国家的案例,为这一研究领域做出了贡献。我们收集并分析了中国306个州的检察院的逮捕和起诉数据,并与来自五个省的9名警察和公共检察官进行了访谈。我们发现,不同城市的家庭移民与起诉率显着相关,而房屋租金可以更好地预测逮捕率。这些发现暗示移民可能会带来犯罪,但可能部分是通过房屋租赁因素造成的。与范围较广的起诉案件相比,逮捕案件表明中国犯下了更严重的罪行。这表明租金因素可能在犯罪的发生和预防中发挥重要作用。调查结果要求反思城市化及其意想不到的后果。不应仅仅从经济意义上考虑住房政策;它不应被视为预防犯罪和社会包容中的重要社会政策杠杆。

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