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Predicting the distribution of plant species habitats using maximum entropy model (A case study in rangelands of western Taftan, Southeastern Iran)

机译:使用最大熵模型预测植物物种栖息地的分布(以伊朗东南部塔夫坦西部的牧场为例)

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This study was aimed to identify the most important effective variables affecting the distribution of plants habitat and mapping of those habitats using Maximum Entropy model. Vegetation sampling was carried out using systematic randomiz ed method. Soil samples were taken from 0 - 30 and 30 - 80 cm depths in each habitat by digging eight soil profiles. Soil samples were analyzed for physico - chemical parameters. For modeling by Maximum Entropy method, layers of physical variables were prepared with GIS and Geostatistics. Habitats distribution was modeled using MaxEnt software. Accuracy of classification by models and agreement of predicted and observed maps were evaluated through calculation of Kappa coefficient and curve area statistic. Results showed that altitude, degree of slope, available moisture and percentage of sand in superficial soil, gypsum in subsoil, gravel in topsoil, lime in both depths, and geological structure were most effective variables in habitat distribution. The agreement of predicted and observed maps was very good for the habitats of Amygdalus scoparia , Artemisia aucheri, Haloxylon persicum with Kappa coefficient of 0.82, 0.76 and 0.75, respectively. In addition, the Kappa values were 0.69 (good) and 0.55 (fair) for the h abitat of Zygophyllum eurypterum and Artemisia sieberi , respectively. This study concludes that the outcomes of Maximum Entropy Model can make possible the selection of suitable plant species for rehabilitation of degraded rangeland in addition to the iden tification of effective environmental factors in plants habitat distribution.
机译:这项研究旨在使用最大熵模型确定影响植物生境分布的最重要的有效变量并绘制这些生境的图。植被采样采用系统随机方法进行。通过挖掘八个土壤剖面,从每个栖息地的0-30和30-80厘米深度采集土壤样品。分析土壤样品的理化参数。为了通过最大熵方法进行建模,使用GIS和Geostatistics准备了物理变量层。生境分布是使用MaxEnt软件建模的。通过计算Kappa系数和曲线面积统计量,评估了模型分类的准确性以及预测图和观测图的一致性。结果表明,海拔高度,坡度,表层土壤中的含沙量和水分含量,表层土壤中的石膏,表层土壤中的砾石,两个深度的石灰和地质结构是栖息地分布最有效的变量。预测图和观测图的吻合度对于杏仁扁桃,蒿蒿,梭梭的生境都非常好,卡伯系数分别为0.82、0.76和0.75。此外,Zygophyllum eurypterum和Artemisia sieberi的生境的卡伯值分别为0.69(好)和0.55(中)。这项研究得出的结论是,除了确定植物栖息地分布中的有效环境因素外,最大熵模型的结果还可以选择合适的植物物种来恢复退化的牧场。

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