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Adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa using 2001—2009 census data: does estimation method matter?

机译:使用2001-2009年人口普查数据在撒哈拉以南非洲地区的成年人死亡率:估算方法重要吗?

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Abstract Adult mortality is an important development and public health issue that continues to attract the attention of demographers and public health researchers. Controversies exist about the accurate level of adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), due to different data sources and errors in data collection. To address this shortcoming, methods have been developed to accurately estimate levels of adult mortality. Using three different methods (orphanhood, widowhood, and siblinghood) of indirect estimation and the direct siblinghood method of adult mortality, we examined the levels of adult mortality in 10 countries in SSA using 2001–2009 census and survey data. Results from the different methods vary. Estimates from the orphanhood data show that adult mortality rates for males are in decline in South Africa and West African countries, whilst there is an increase in adult mortality in the East African countries, for the period examined. The widowhood estimates were the lowest and reveal a marked increase in female adult mortality rates compared to male. A notable difference was observed in adult mortality estimates derived from the direct and indirect siblinghood methods. The method of estimation, therefore, matters in establishing the level of adult mortality in SSA.
机译:摘要成人死亡率是一个重要的发展和公共卫生问题,继续引起人口统计学家和公共卫生研究人员的关注。由于数据来源不同和数据收集错误,在撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA)的成年人死亡率的准确水平存在争议。为了解决该缺点,已经开发了精确估计成人死亡率水平的方法。使用间接估计的三种不同方法(孤儿,寡居和同胞)以及成人死亡率的直接同胞方法,我们使用2001-2009年人口普查和调查数据,对SSA中10个国家的成人死亡率进行了研究。不同方法的结果各不相同。根据孤儿院数据的估计,在这段时期内,南非和西非国家的成年男性死亡率正在下降,而东非国家的成年死亡率则有所上升。丧偶估计是最低的,与男性相比,女性成年死亡率显着增加。从直接和间接同胞方法得出的成人死亡率估计值中观察到显着差异。因此,估算方法对于确定SSA中的成人死亡率很重要。

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