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Is Swaziland census data suitable for fertility measurement?

机译:斯威士兰人口普查数据是否适合生育率测量?

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This study seeks to assess fertility data in Swaziland based on the 1976, 1986, 1997 and 2007 censuses. By utilising single-year age-sex published raw data, demographic evaluation tools—sex ratio, age ratio, Whipple’s index, and modified Whipple’s index—were used to assess age misreporting as several fertility measures rely on the quality of age data. In addition, using published descriptive census tables for women in the reproductive lifespan, 15–49, data on children ever born or parity ( P ) derived were evaluated for incorrect reporting of parities using the el-Badry technique. Further, the relational Gompertz model was applied to adjust data on reported aggregated births in the last year or current fertility ( F ) relying on its intrinsic P / F ratios feature as an adjustment and diagnostic tool for consistency checks on fertility and parity distributions. The evidence of some age reporting distortions or age misreporting is not too severe, but moderate, and therefore fertility estimates in the four censuses of Swaziland cannot be said are invalidated. The data on parity and current fertility conforms to expected or typical patterns of fertility distributions of African populations. The study concludes that the census data were of reasonable quality for fertility estimation.
机译:这项研究旨在根据1976年,1986年,1997年和2007年的人口普查评估斯威士兰的生育率数据。通过利用发布的单一年龄性别原始数据,人口统计评估工具(性别比率,年龄比率,Whipple指数和修改后的Whipple指数)被用于评估年龄错报,因为一些生育率指标依赖于年龄数据的质量。此外,使用已发布的15-49岁生育期妇女的人口普查描述表,使用el-Badry技术评估了有关出生或出生的孩子的数据,以评估是否正确报告了孩子。此外,关系型Gompertz模型用于调整报告的上一年或当前生育率(F)的累计出生数据,并依靠其固有的P / F比率功能作为调整和诊断工具,以检查生育率和均价分布。一些年龄报告的歪曲或年龄报告错误的证据不是太严重,而是适度的,因此不能说斯威士兰的四个人口普查中的生育率估计是无效的。关于平价和当前生育率的数据符合非洲人口生育率分布的预期或典型模式。研究得出的结论是,人口普查数据对于生育率估计具有合理的质量。

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