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Locally stationary functional time series

机译:局部平稳的功能时间序列

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The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be able to weaken this assumption. This paper introduces a framework that will enable meaningful statistical inference of functional data of which the dynamics change over time. We put forward the concept of local stationarity in the functional setting and establish a class of processes that have a functional time-varying spectral representation. Subsequently, we derive conditions that allow for fundamental results from nonstationary multivariate time series to carry over to the function space. In particular, time-varying functional ARMA processes are investigated and shown to be functional locally stationary according to the proposed definition. As a side-result, we establish a Cramér representation for an important class of weakly stationary functional processes. Important in our context is the notion of a time-varying spectral density operator of which the properties are studied and uniqueness is derived. Finally, we provide a consistent nonparametric estimator of this operator and show it is asymptotically Gaussian using a weaker tightness criterion than what is usually deemed necessary.
机译:关于功能数据的时间序列的文献集中在概率定律随时间恒定或直到其二阶结构恒定的过程。特别是对于较长的数据段,希望能够弱化此假设。本文介绍了一个框架,该框架将能够对功能数据进行有意义的统计推断,其动态性会随着时间而变化。我们在功能设置中提出了局部平稳性的概念,并建立了一类具有功能时变频谱表示的过程。随后,我们推导出条件,这些条件允许非平稳多元时间序列的基本结果延续到函数空间。特别地,根据所提出的定义,时变功能性ARMA进程已被研究并显示为局部稳定的功能。作为附带结果,我们为一类重要的弱固定功能过程建立了Cramér表示。在我们的上下文中,重要的是时变谱密度算符的概念,该算符的性质经过研究并得出了唯一性。最后,我们提供了该算子的一致非参数估计量,并使用比通常认为的更弱的紧密性标准,证明了它是渐近高斯型的。

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