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Estimation and testing linearity for non-linear mixed poisson autoregressions

机译:非线性混合泊松自回归的线性估计和检验

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Non-linear mixed Poisson autoregressive models are studied for the analysis of count time series. Given a correct mean specification of the model, we discuss quasi maximum likelihood estimation based on Poisson log-likelihood function. A score testing procedure for checking linearity of the mean process is developed. We consider the cases of identifiable and non identifiable parameters under the null hypothesis. When the parameters are identifiable then a chi-square approximation to the distribution of the score test is obtained. In the case of non identifiable parameters, a supremum score type test statistic is employed for checking linearity of the mean process. The methodology is applied to simulated and real data.
机译:研究了非线性混合泊松自回归模型以分析计数时间序列。给定模型的正确均值规格,我们讨论基于泊松对数似然函数的拟最大似然估计。开发了一种用于检查平均过程线性度的分数测试程序。我们考虑原假设下可识别参数和不可识别参数的情况。当参数可识别时,就可以得出得分测试分布的卡方近似值。在无法识别的参数的情况下,采用最高得分类型的检验统计量来检验平均过程的线性。该方法适用于模拟和真实数据。

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