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The Reliability of Accruals and the Prediction of Future Cash Flow

机译:权责发生制的可靠性和未来现金流量的预测

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The aim of this study is to investigate the reliability of accruals in predicting cash flows. Three categories of accrual are considered (trading, non-trading and financial accruals), which are calculated on the basis of the balance sheet information available in the Worldscope database. Different levels of reliability are assigned to the different types of accrual dependent on their expected propensity to manipulation, using a three-point scale of reliability (low, medium and high). We expect a higher degree of reliability in financial accruals to be associated with greater predictive power with respect to cash flows, and likewise for a lower level to be associated with lower predictability in non-trading accruals, and evidence is presented that supports these predictions.
机译:这项研究的目的是调查应计费用在预测现金流量中的可靠性。考虑了三类应计项目(交易,非交易和财务应计项目),它们是根据Worldscope数据库中可用的资产负债表信息进行计算的。使用可靠性三点量表(低,中和高),将不同级别的可靠性分配给不同类型的应计项目,具体取决于它们的预期操纵倾向。我们期望财务应计项目具有较高的可靠性,可以对现金流量具有更大的预测能力,同样,较低的水平应与非交易应计项目的较低可预测性相关,并且将提供支持这些预测的证据。

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