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Accident prediction of project construction based on gray system theory

机译:基于灰色系统理论的工程建设事故预测

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In engineering practice, security incident in real terms is a gray system, so it is possible to predict the accident using gray system theory. In this article, we established the prediction model for pit deformation based on gray system theory, and predicted the pit deformation in future adopting actual project monitoring data. The results are in good agreement with the measured values, indicating the prediction model has good accuracy and has positive significance in guiding informationizaton construction of excavation engineering. We establish the metabolism model to improve the accuracy of the prediction model. Practice has shown that the accuracy of the metabolism model is higher than that of the old information model; the predicted results are consistent with the measured data.
机译:在工程实践中,实际的安全事件是灰色系统,因此可以使用灰色系统理论预测事故。本文建立了基于灰色系统理论的基坑变形预测模型,并结合实际工程监测数据对基坑变形进行了预测。计算结果与实测值吻合较好,表明该预测模型具有较好的精度,对指导基坑工程信息化建设具有积极意义。我们建立新陈代谢模型以提高预测模型的准确性。实践表明,新陈代谢模型的准确性要高于旧的信息模型。预测结果与实测数据一致。

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