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FOREIGN EXCHANGE FORECASTS

机译:外汇预测

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WTI Prices Surge Above US$105 per barrel Despite easing global demand and the US economy on the brink of recession, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures finished above US$100 per barrel on February 19 and reached a record high of US$107.9 on March 10. Geopolitical instability in oil-producing countries has acted as a spur on prices in recent years, as have supply constraints, but it is speculative trading which lifted WTI over the past month. Many investors moved funds into commodities following the stock market crunch as a hedge against higher world inflation expectations and a weaker US$. The consensus predicts only a moderate fall-back in oil prices. OPEC kept output unchanged at its March 5 meeting and highlighted refining problems and extremely tight capacity as other major drivers behind the price surge.
机译:WTI价格飙升至每桶105美元以上尽管全球需求减少,美国经济处于衰退边缘,但西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货在2月19日收于每桶100美元上方,并在3月10日创下107.9美元的历史新高。近年来,产油国的地缘政治动荡以及供应限制都在刺激价格上涨,但投机性贸易在过去一个月提振了WTI。股市紧缩后,许多投资者将资金投入大宗商品,作为对冲全球通胀预期和美元疲软的对冲。共识预测油价只会适度回落。欧佩克在3月5日的会议上保持产量不变,并强调了提炼问题和产能过分紧张,这是价格上涨背后的其他主要驱动力。

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