A multi-paradigm modeling framework for energy systems simulation and analysis

摘要

The modern world energy system is highly complex and interconnected and the effects of energy policies may have unintended consequences. Modeling and analysis tools can therefore be crucial to gaining insight into the interactions between system components and formulating policies that will shape the future energy system. We present in this work a multi-paradigm modeling framework that allows for the continual adjustment and refinement of energy system models as the understanding of the system under study increases. This flexible and open framework allows for the consideration of different levels of model aggregation, timescales and geographic considerations within the same model through the use of different modeling formalisms. We also present a case study of the combined California natural gas and electricity systems that illustrates how the framework may be used to account for the significant uncertainty that exists within the system.