Rainy season precipitation variation in the Mekong River basin and its relationship to the Indian and East Asian summer monsoons

摘要

In this paper, we study the relationship between the covariability of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the rainy season precipitation anomaly in the Mekong River basin (MRB) using ERA-Interim reanalysis data and precipitation from the Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation station for 1981-2016. The results indicate that the interannual variability of the rainy season precipitation in the MRB is significantly modulated by the ISM and EASM covariability. Herein, the ISM mainly influences the rainy season precipitation west of the MRB, and the EASM mainly influences the rainy season precipitation over the southeastern MRB. When the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and South China Sea (SCS) are dominated by positive anomalies of diabatic heating associated with a stronger ISM and EASM, the anomalous westerly winds in the BOB and significantly anomalous easterly winds in the SCS, which carry more warm-wet air, induce a stronger than normal convergence and upward motion in the MRB. This results in much heavier rainy season precipitation in the MRB. Model runs with a linear baroclinic model confirm the observational analysis results.