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A stochastic lie detector

机译:随机测谎仪

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Surveys on sensitive issues provide distorted prevalence estimates when participants fail to respond truthfully. The randomized-response technique (RRT) encourages more honest responding by adding random noise to responses, thereby removing any direct link between a participant’s response and his or her true status with regard to a sensitive attribute. However, in spite of the increased confidentiality, some respondents still refuse to disclose sensitive attitudes or behaviors. To remedy this problem, we propose an extension of Mangat’s (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 56, 93–95, 1994) variant of the RRT that allows for determining whether participants respond truthfully. This method offers the genuine advantage of providing undistorted prevalence estimates for sensitive attributes even if respondents fail to respond truthfully. We show how to implement the method using both closed-form equations and easily accessible free software for multinomial processing tree models. Moreover, we report the results of two survey experiments that provide evidence for the validity of our extension of Mangat’s RRT approach.
机译:当参与者未能如实回答时,对敏感问题的调查会提供失真的患病率估计。随机响应技术(RRT)通过在响应中添加随机噪声来鼓励更加诚实的响应,从而消除参与者的响应与其敏感属性的真实状态之间的任何直接联系。但是,尽管保密性有所提高,但一些受访者仍然拒绝透露敏感的态度或行为。为了解决这个问题,我们建议对Mangat的RRT变体(《皇家统计学会杂志》系列B,56、93-95、1994年)进行扩展,该变体可以确定参与者是否真实响应。这种方法的真正优势在于即使受访者无法如实回答,也可以为敏感属性提供不失真的患病率估计。我们展示了如何使用封闭式方程式和易于访问的免费软件来实现该方法,以用于多项式处理树模型。此外,我们报告了两个调查实验的结果,这为我们扩展Mangat的RRT方法的有效性提供了证据。

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