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Adjusted Confidence Intervals for a Bounded Parameter

机译:有界参数的调整后置信区间

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摘要

It is well known that the regular likelihood ratio test of a bounded parameter is not valid if the boundary value is being tested. This is the case for testing the null value of a scalar variance component. Although an adjusted test of variance component has been suggested to account for the effect of its lower bound of zero, no adjustment of its interval estimate has ever been proposed. If left unadjusted, the confidence interval of the variance may still contain zero when the adjusted test rejects the null hypothesis of a zero variance, leading to conflicting conclusions. In this research, we propose two ways to adjust the confidence interval of a parameter subject to a lower bound, one based on the Wald test and the other on the likelihood ratio test. Both are compatible to the adjusted test and parametrization-invariant. A simulation study and two examples are given in the framework of ACDE models in twin studies.
机译:众所周知,如果正在测试边界值,则有界参数的常规似然比测试无效。测试标量方差分量的空值时就是这种情况。尽管已建议对方差分量进行调整后的检验以解决其下限零的影响,但从未提出过对区间估计进行调整的建议。如果不进行调整,则当调整后的检验拒绝零方差的零假设时,方差的置信区间仍可能为零,从而得出相矛盾的结论。在这项研究中,我们提出了两种方法来调整参数下限的置信区间,一种是基于Wald检验,另一种是基于似然比检验。两者均与调整后的测试和不变参数兼容。在双胞胎研究的ACDE模型框架中给出了一个仿真研究和两个示例。

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