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The effects of vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany

机译:职业培训计划对德国东部失业时间的影响

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Vocational training programmes have been the most important active labour market policy instrument in Germany in the last years. However, the still unsatisfying situation of the labour market has raised doubt on the efficiency of these programmes. In this paper, we analyse the effects of the participation in vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany. Based on administrative data for the time between the October 1999 and December 2002 of the Federal Employment Administration, we apply a bivariate mixed proportional hazards model. By doing so, we are able to use the information of the timing of treatment as well as observable and unobservable influences to identify the treatment effects. The results show that a participation in vocational training prolongates the unemployment duration in Eastern Germany. Furthermore, the results suggest that locking-in effects are a serious problem of vocational training programmes.
机译:近年来,职业培训计划一直是德国最重要的积极劳动力市场政策工具。但是,劳动力市场仍然不能令人满意的情况使人们对这些方案的效率产生怀疑。在本文中,我们分析了参加职业培训计划对德国东部失业时间的影响。基于联邦就业管理局1999年10月至2002年12月期间的行政数据,我们应用了双变量混合比例风险模型。通过这样做,我们能够使用治疗时间的信息以及可观察和不可观察的影响来识别治疗效果。结果表明,参加职业培训可延长德国东部的失业时间。此外,结果表明,锁定效应是职业培训计划的一个严重问题。

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