Risk adaptation and emotion differentiation: An experimental study of dynamic decision-making

摘要

We report a study of risky decision-making in a dynamic risk environment, looking in particular at idea that variations in risk preferences over time are subject to both risk adaptation and ability to differentiate negative emotions. In a between-group experiment, 175 participants completed 20 binary project investment decisions under three objective probabilities of success conditions (20%, 50%, and 80%). The results showed that participants' risk-taking increased at Time 2 only when risky projects have a medium-to-high chance of success (50% or 80%) at Time 1. We also found that participants who could differentiate their negative emotions under the condition with high favorability of risk-taking (80%), achieved higher returns, suggesting that negative emotion differentiation provides emotional information to capture the pattern of decision trials in the environment more favorable to risk-taking success. We conclude with a discussion of the theoretical and practical contributions of our findings for individuals and firms.