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Toward Spatial/Capital Market Convergence

机译:迈向空间/资本市场融合

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摘要

During the remainder of 2005, the commercial real estate market should continue to enjoy moderate improvement. However, the economic outlook is murkier than it was earlier in the year, suggesting that overall market conditions should be relatively flat. That said, strong capital flows, tempered new construction activity, and increases in demand should help stabilize the asset class. While there is some risk due to rising interest rates and inflation, there are few signs of a major collapse. Indeed, if the economy slips, the bottoming out of real estate fundamentals may open the door to a new wave of capital. While cap rates are unlikely to decline much further and actually face some upside pressure, no major correction is anticipated. In the absence of major shocks, the real estate market should continue to be active, with some upside potential. However, yields at there current levels are unlikely to heat up without some major stimulus tied to the economic recovery.
机译:在2005年剩余时间内,商业房地产市场将继续保持适度的增长。但是,经济前景比今年初更加暗淡,表明总体市场状况应该相对平稳。也就是说,强劲的资本流动,缓和的新建筑活动以及需求的增加应有助于稳定资产类别。尽管由于利率上升和通货膨胀而存在一定风险,但几乎没有重大崩溃的迹象。确实,如果经济下滑,房地产基本面的触底反弹可能为新一轮的资本打开大门。虽然上限利率不太可能进一步下降并且实际上面临一些上行压力,但预计不会出现重大调整。在没有重大冲击的情况下,房地产市场应继续保持活跃,并具有一定的上升潜力。但是,如果不采取与经济复苏相关的重大刺激措施,目前的水平的单产不可能升温。

著录项

  • 来源
    《The Appraisal Journal》 |2005年第2期|p.125-135|共11页
  • 作者

    James R. DeLisle;

  • 作者单位

    Real Estate Studies at the University of Washington;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 f;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 23:27:36

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